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What is the Federal Grant Spending?

In the Public Budget Database each spending item is tagged as Grant or Nongrant. This analysis shows history of federal grant spending as distributed across various federal functions. The biggest grant item is Medicaid grants to states.

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Federal Grant Analysis  

Recent US Federal Grant Spending

Recent US Federal Grant Spending

Chart S.91f: Recent US Federal Grant Spending

Federal Grant spending increased steadily in the 2010s with a bump during the Great Recession. In the COVID years grant spending jumped from $720 billion in 2020 to $1,245 billion in 2022.

At the end of FY2026 federal grant spending was $1,243 billion, of which $715 billion was for Medicaid.


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Recent US Federal Grants as Pct GDP

Chart S.92f: Recent US Federal Grants as Pct GDP

Viewed as percent of GDP federal grant spending was steady at about 3 percent GDP during the 2010s with a surge to 4 percent GDP during the Great Recession. In the COVID years federal grant spending exploded to 4.7 percent GDP in 2022.

At the end of FY2026 the federal grant spending was 4.1 percent of GDP, of which 2.3 percent of GDP was for Medicaid.

Major Federal Grant Spending Categories

Major Federal Grant Spending Categories

Chart S.93f: Major Federal Grant Spending Categories

The largest federal grant spending category is Medicaid grants to the states, amounting to over one percent of GDP in 2007. The next highest is welfare, at about 0.5 percent of GDP in 2007. Then education, transportation, and other categories. During the COVID years, economic assistance, reaching almost one percent of GDP in 2022, was provided with General Government grants.

The trend in federal grants is upward, as a percent of GDP, with Medicaid grants reaching 2 percent of GDP in 2022.

US Federal Grant Spending Since 1962

Federal Grant Spending since 1962

Chart S.94f: Federal Grant Spending since 1962

Federal grant spending began the 1960s at 1.3 percent GDP, but then surged in the 1970s to over 3 percent GDP. In the 1980s grant spending declined to 2 percent GDP, but in the decades since has steadily increased, hitting 3 percent GDP in 2003, 3.9 percent GDP in 2011, and 4.7 percent GDP during COVID in 2022.

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Debt Data Sources

Debt data is from official government sources.

Gross Domestic Product data comes from US Bureau of Economic Analysis and measuringworth.com.

Detailed table of debt data sources here.

Federal debt data begins in 1792.

State and local debt data begins in 1820.

State and local debt data for individual states begins in 1957.

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Debt Now:  $40,388,317,675,071.91
Debt 2/2020:$23,409,959,150,243.63

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Data Sources for 2022_2031:

Sources for 2022:

GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
'Guesstimated' by projecting the latest change in reported spending forward to future years

Sources for 2031:

GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
'Guesstimated' by projecting the latest change in reported spending forward to future years

> data sources for other years
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US Budget Deficit, Receipts, Outlays for FY 2026

On October 15, 2026, the US Treasury reported in its Monthly Treasury Statement (and xlsx) for September that the federal deficit for FY 2025 ending September 30, 2026, was $1,99 billion. Here are the numbers, including total receipts, total outlays, and deficit compared with the numbers projected in the FY 2026 federal budget published in February 2025:

Federal Finances
FY 2026 Outcomes
Budget
billions
Outcome
billions
Receipts $5,873    $5,403
Outlays$7,419$7,396
Deficit$1,547$1,993

The Monthly Treasury Statement includes "Table 4: Receipts of the United States Government, September 2026 and Other Periods." This table of receipts by source is used for usgovernmentspending.com to post details of federal receipt actuals for FY 2025. usdgovernmentspending.com obtains the data for outlays and receipts from apis at fiscaldata.treasury.gov.


This MTS report on FY 2026 actuals is a problem for usgovernmentspending.com because this site uses Historical Table 3.2--Outlays by Function and Subfunction from the Budget of the United States as its basic source for federal subfunction outlays. But the Monthly Treasury Statement only includes "Table 9. Summary of Receipts by Source, and Outlays by Function of the U.S. Government, September 2025 and Other Periods". Subfunction amounts don't get reported until the FY28 budget in February 2027. Until then usgovernmentspending.com estimates actual outlays by "subfunction" for FY 2026 by factoring subfunction budgeted amounts for FY26 by the ratio between relevant actual and budgeted "function" amounts where actual outlays by subfunction cannot be gleaned from the Monthly Treasury Statement.

Final detailed FY 2026 actuals will not appear on usgovernmentspending.com until the FY 2028 federal budget is published in February 2027 with the actual outlays for FY 2026* in Historical Table 3.2--Outlays by Function and Subfunction.
State and Local Finances for 2024
On August 7, 2026 we updated the state and local spending and revenue for FY 2024 using the new Census Bureau ...

State and Local Finances for 2024 -- First Look
On July 2, 2026 we updated the state and local spending and revenue for FY 2024 using the new Census Bureau S ...

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