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Medicare Trustees Report 2026
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| Chart Title: You can create a title for your chart. Use the text field to enter a title and click the button to the right of the text field. |
| Chart Size: By default, the chart is displayed at medium size. But you can use the dropdown control to change the size. Color: By default charts are displayed with color data lines and fill. You can change this to grayscale if you want. Report Year: By default, the chart displays
actual and forecast spending from the latest trustees report. But you can change to look at
the reports from previous years. |
Data Range Start Year: You can select any start year you want using the dropdown control in the table heading. At the top and bottom of the dropdown only years ending in “0” are shown. Select a start year to get close, then select the start year you want. End Year: You can select any end year you want using the dropdown control in the table heading. At the top and bottom of the dropdown only years ending in “0” are shown. Select an end year to get close, then select the end year you want. |
The chart shows the latest forecast for the cost, in percent of GDP, of the federal government’s Medicare program for seniors through 2095. It shows the cost of each of the three major parts of Medicare: the Part A Hospital Insurance program, the Part B Supplementary Medical Insurance program and the Part D Supplementary Medical Insurance drug benefit. See the Center for Medicare and Medicaid’s website for more details.
The numbers are obtained from the current 2026 Medicare Trustees Report using numbers from a spreadsheet “HI and SMI Incurred Expenditures as a Percentage of the Gross Domestic Product” available in Expanded and Suppplementary Tables.
If you’d like to create your own custom chart of spending data you should use the table above to make your selections.
- Select the year range: Select the start year and the end year you want by selecting the years you want in the two year dropdown boxes.
- Choose chart features: You can select the size of the chart, select color or black and white. You can also blow up the chart to fill the screen with the “full screen” tab control above the chart display.
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Copy and Paste: To copy and paste data into spreadsheet for analysis, just copy the tab-delimited text in the textbox below (click cursor in text box, then press ctrl-A then press ctrl-C) and paste it into your spreadsheet.
View Data Series
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Below is a formatted version of the data displayed in the chart.
| Year | Medicare Part A percent GDP | Medicare Part B percent GDP | Medicare Part D percent GDP | |||
| 2025 | 1.45 | a | 1.9 | a | 0.59 | a |
| 2026 | 1.5 | e | 1.96 | e | 0.68 | e |
| 2027 | 1.58 | e | 2.04 | e | 0.69 | e |
| 2028 | 1.63 | e | 2.15 | e | 0.73 | e |
| 2029 | 1.68 | e | 2.24 | e | 0.76 | e |
| 2030 | 1.73 | e | 2.36 | e | 0.76 | e |
| 2031 | 1.77 | e | 2.45 | e | 0.77 | e |
| 2032 | 1.8 | e | 2.54 | e | 0.75 | e |
| 2033 | 1.85 | e | 2.66 | e | 0.76 | e |
| 2034 | 1.91 | e | 2.8 | e | 0.76 | e |
| 2035 | 1.93 | e | 2.9 | e | 0.76 | e |
| 2036 | 1.96 | e | 3.01 | e | 0.76 | e |
| 2037 | 1.98 | e | 3.1 | e | 0.76 | e |
| 2038 | 1.99 | e | 3.18 | e | 0.76 | e |
| 2039 | 2 | e | 3.26 | e | 0.76 | e |
| 2040 | 2.01 | e | 3.33 | e | 0.76 | e |
| 2041 | 2.02 | e | 3.4 | e | 0.75 | e |
| 2042 | 2.02 | e | 3.46 | e | 0.75 | e |
| 2043 | 2.02 | e | 3.51 | e | 0.75 | e |
| 2044 | 2.03 | e | 3.56 | e | 0.75 | e |
| 2045 | 2.03 | e | 3.6 | e | 0.75 | e |
| 2046 | 2.03 | e | 3.64 | e | 0.76 | e |
| 2047 | 2.03 | e | 3.67 | e | 0.76 | e |
| 2048 | 2.03 | e | 3.7 | e | 0.76 | e |
| 2049 | 2.03 | e | 3.72 | e | 0.77 | e |
| 2050 | 2.03 | e | 3.73 | e | 0.77 | e |
| 2051 | 2.03 | e | 3.75 | e | 0.78 | e |
| 2052 | 2.03 | e | 3.76 | e | 0.78 | e |
| 2053 | 2.02 | e | 3.78 | e | 0.79 | e |
| 2054 | 2.02 | e | 3.8 | e | 0.8 | e |
| 2055 | 2.02 | e | 3.83 | e | 0.8 | e |
| 2056 | 2.03 | e | 3.85 | e | 0.81 | e |
| 2057 | 2.03 | e | 3.88 | e | 0.82 | e |
| 2058 | 2.03 | e | 3.91 | e | 0.83 | e |
| 2059 | 2.03 | e | 3.93 | e | 0.83 | e |
| 2060 | 2.03 | e | 3.96 | e | 0.84 | e |
| 2061 | 2.03 | e | 3.99 | e | 0.85 | e |
| 2062 | 2.04 | e | 4.01 | e | 0.85 | e |
| 2063 | 2.04 | e | 4.04 | e | 0.86 | e |
| 2064 | 2.05 | e | 4.07 | e | 0.87 | e |
| 2065 | 2.05 | e | 4.1 | e | 0.88 | e |
| 2066 | 2.06 | e | 4.12 | e | 0.88 | e |
| 2067 | 2.07 | e | 4.14 | e | 0.89 | e |
| 2068 | 2.08 | e | 4.17 | e | 0.9 | e |
| 2069 | 2.08 | e | 4.19 | e | 0.9 | e |
| 2070 | 2.09 | e | 4.22 | e | 0.91 | e |
| 2071 | 2.1 | e | 4.24 | e | 0.92 | e |
| 2072 | 2.1 | e | 4.27 | e | 0.92 | e |
| 2073 | 2.11 | e | 4.29 | e | 0.93 | e |
| 2074 | 2.11 | e | 4.31 | e | 0.94 | e |
| 2075 | 2.12 | e | 4.33 | e | 0.94 | e |
| 2076 | 2.12 | e | 4.35 | e | 0.95 | e |
| 2077 | 2.12 | e | 4.37 | e | 0.95 | e |
| 2078 | 2.13 | e | 4.38 | e | 0.96 | e |
| 2079 | 2.13 | e | 4.4 | e | 0.96 | e |
| 2080 | 2.13 | e | 4.42 | e | 0.97 | e |
| 2081 | 2.13 | e | 4.43 | e | 0.97 | e |
| 2082 | 2.12 | e | 4.44 | e | 0.98 | e |
| 2083 | 2.12 | e | 4.46 | e | 0.98 | e |
| 2084 | 2.12 | e | 4.47 | e | 0.98 | e |
| 2085 | 2.12 | e | 4.47 | e | 0.99 | e |
| 2086 | 2.12 | e | 4.48 | e | 0.99 | e |
| 2087 | 2.11 | e | 4.48 | e | 0.99 | e |
| 2088 | 2.11 | e | 4.49 | e | 0.99 | e |
| 2089 | 2.11 | e | 4.49 | e | 1 | e |
| 2090 | 2.1 | e | 4.49 | e | 1 | e |
| 2091 | 2.1 | e | 4.49 | e | 1 | e |
| 2092 | 2.1 | e | 4.49 | e | 1 | e |
| 2093 | 2.09 | e | 4.49 | e | 1 | e |
| 2094 | 2.08 | e | 4.49 | e | 1 | e |
| 2095 | 2.08 | e | 4.49 | e | 1 | e |
Legend: Data source: Medicare Trustees Report | ||||||
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Spending Data Sources
Spending data is from official government sources.
- Federal spending data since 1962 comes from the president’s budget.
- All other spending data comes from the US Census Bureau.
Gross Domestic Product data comes from US Bureau of Economic Analysis and measuringworth.com.
Detailed table of spending data sources here.
Medicare breakdown here; Medicaid breakdown here.
Federal spending data begins in 1792.
State and local spending data begins in 1820.
State and local spending data for individual states begins in 1957.
Gross Federal Debt
| Debt Now: | $39,283,052,266,270.91 | Debt 2/2020: | $23,409,959,150,243.63 |
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Data Sources for 2025_2095:
Sources for 2025:
GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
'Guesstimated' by projecting the latest change in reported spending forward to future years
Sources for 2095:
GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
'Guesstimated' by projecting the latest change in reported spending forward to future years
> data sources for other years
> data update schedule.
Blog
Medicare/Social Security 2026 Trustees Report Released
On June 16, 2026, the Center for Medicare Services released its annual Medicare Trustees Report, which projects Medicare spending out to 2095. As in the past, the report shows that federal health-care programs will eat the budget.
In this report the Trustees forecast that Medicare will top out at a little above 6 percent of GDP in the 2080s.
On June 15, 2026, usgovernmentspending.com updated its chart of the Medicare Outlook here based on data in the 2026 Medicare Trustees Report. You can download the data and also view selected Medicare Trustee forecasts going back to 2005.
In June 2026, the Social Security Administration released its annual OASDI Trustees Report, which projects Social Security spending out to 2095. As in the past, the report shows that Social Security spending will max out at about 6 percent of GDP. UsGovernmentspending.com uses the Supplemental Single Year Tables.
On June 15, 2026, usgovernmentspending.com updated its chart of the Social Security Outlook here based on data in the 2026 OASDI Trustees Report. You can download the data and also view selected OASDI Trustee forecasts going back to 1997.
On February 25, 2026 the Congressional Budget Office released its annual Long Term Budget Outlook for 2026, which projects ...
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released its Gross State Product (GSP) data for 2025 on April 9, 2026.Usgovernment ...
> blog
Budget News
President’s FY 2025 Budget Release Scheduled for March 11
Although the FY 2024 appropriations process is not yet resolved
Biden to Release Budget March 9
will press McCarthy On Default Risk - Bloomberg
Biden to Release 2023 Budget Request on March 28
how the administration expects to spend money for priorities including aid to Ukraine and the continuing effort to fight the coronavirus pandemic, as well as legislative proposals such as increased funding for community policing programs, cancer research, and mental health education.
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