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What is the spending on Social Security?

In FY 2025 the federal government spent $1,550 billion on Social Security.

Social Security Spending Analysis

This page shows the current trends in Social Security spending on the OASI and DI programs. There are also charts on OASI and DI spending history. See here for a general history of entitlement spending. See here for spending forecast from latest OASDI Trustees Report.

Recent Social Security Spending

Recent Social Security Spending

Chart S.11f: Recent Social Security Spending

Social Security spending has been increasing steadily every year. Back in 2007 Old Age Survivor Insurance (OASI) spending was $486 billion a year, and Disability Insurance (DI) spending was about $100 billion a year. By 2012 OASI had increased to $635 billion and DI to $139 billion. By 2018 Social Security spending was hitting $1 trillion a year, with OASI at $841 billion and DI at $147 billion.

In 2025 OASI spending was $1,386 billion and DI spending was $164 billion.

Recent Social Sec. Spend as Pct GDP

Chart S.12f: Recent Social Sec. Spend as Pct GDP

Viewed from a GDP perspective, Social Security spending has been pretty stable in the last decade. In 2005 spending was 4 percent of GDP. By 2013 it had increased to 4.85 percent GDP. In the COVID year of 2020 Social Security Spending blipped up to 5.06 percent of GDP.

Social Security spending for 2025 was 5.3 percent GDP, with OASI spending at 4.7 percent GDP and DI spending at 0.6 percent GDP.

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US Social Security Spending Since 1935

Social Security benefits cost about 5 percent of GDP each year.

Social Security Program Growth

Social Security Spending since 1935

Chart S.13f: Social Security Spending since 1935

Social Security, the federal old-age pension program, was passed in 1935 in time for the 1936 presidential election. The first old-age benefits were distributed in 1938.

Social Security benefits were modest in the early years and did not exceed one percent of GDP until 1955. But the program cost increased rapidly, reaching 2.2 percent of GDP in 1960.

Benefit increase slowed somewhat in the 1960s, reaching 3.2 percent in 1971. Costs increased again in the early 1970s before peaking at 4.81 percent in 1983.

Social Security benefits as a percent of GDP slowly declined for the rest of the 1980s, 1990s and 2000s down to a low of 4.0 percent of GDP in 2005. But the Great Recession o 2007-09 bumped Social Security up to 4.72 percent of GDP in 2010. Social Security spending has been just under 5 percent GDP since 2013. In 2025 Social Security spending was 5.28 percent GDP.

 

Social Security Disability Insurance Growth

Social Security Spending

Chart S.14f: Social Security Spending

The Social Security Disability Insurance Program was enacted in the 1950s and payments began in 1958. Eligibility requirements relaxed in the 1980s.

Starting from zero in 1957 Social Security’s Disability Insurance program reached 0.5 percent of GDP in 1975.

Peaking at 0.55 percent of GDP in the early 1980s, payments declined to a low of 0.43 percent in 1990. But then payments increased, breaching 0.5 percent of GDP in 1993 and 0.6 percent of GDP in 2002. DI reached 0.7 percent of GDP in 2006 and peaked at 0.85 percent of GDP in 2011-13. In 2025 DI was 0.56 percent GDP.

Social Security OASDI Trustees Report

Social Security will cost over 6 percent of GDP by 2037.

OASDI Trustees Report

Chart 2.93: OASDI Trustees Report

Every year the Social Security Administration publishes an OASDI Trustees Report. The latest report was published in March 2023.

The 2023 trustees report shows that Social Security’s two main programs, the Old Age and Survivor Insurance (OASI) program and the Disability Insurance (DI) program cost 4.89 percent of GDP between them in 2022. The OASI program cost 4.31 percent of GDP and the DI program cost 0.58 percent of GDP.

Over the years since the Crash of 2008 Social Security costs have increased sharply as a percent of GDP. OASI has gone from 3.38 percent of GDP in 2007 to 4.03 percent of GDP in 2013; DI has gone from 0.67 percent of GDP in 2007 to a peak of 0.86 percent of GDP in 2012.

In the medium term Social Security costs are forecast to increase to 6 percent of GDP by 2040 and then max out at about 6.3 percent of GDP in the 2070s. OASI will be the main driver, hitting 5 percent of GDP in 2028 and increasing to 5.7 percent of GDP in 2075. DI costs are expected to decline slowly from 0.83 percent of GDP in 2014 to 0.60 percent of GDP in the mid 2030s and increasing to 0.69 percent GDP in the 2050s.

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Spending Data Sources

Spending data is from official government sources.

Gross Domestic Product data comes from US Bureau of Economic Analysis and measuringworth.com.

Detailed table of spending data sources here.
Medicare breakdown here; Medicaid breakdown here.

Federal spending data begins in 1792.

State and local spending data begins in 1820.

State and local spending data for individual states begins in 1957.

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Data Sources for 2021_2029:

Sources for 2021:

GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
'Guesstimated' by projecting the latest change in reported spending forward to future years

Sources for 2029:

GDP, GO: GDP, GO Sources
Federal: Fed. Budget: Hist. Tables 3.2, 5.1, 7.1
State and Local: State and Local Gov. Finances
'Guesstimated' by projecting the latest change in reported spending forward to future years

> data sources for other years
> data update schedule.

Blog

Medicaid Update for FY2024

On January 14, 2026, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) published its annual report on National Health Expenditures and its NHE Tables includes data on Medicaid from 1960 to 2023. On January 15, 2026, usgovernmentspending.com updated its Medicaid data.

Item2024
Estimate
2024
Actual
Federal Medicaid$567.2 bn$567.2 bn 
State Medicaid (net)$124.4 bn$253.2 bn 
Total Medicaid$691.6 bn$820.4 bn 

The federal Medicaid number comes from the Federal Budget Subfunction 558: Grants to states for Medicaid. The state contribution comes from the NHE Tables.

usgovernmentspending.com publishes "guesstimates" of state and local spending from the latest year published by the Census Bureau (currently FY 2023) to the last year in the Historical Tables of the federal budget. (currently 2029 from the FY25 budget). So we have developed "guesstimates" of Medicaid spending going out to 2029, assuming that the overall Medicaid spending increases at the same rate as the federal "Grants to States for Medicaid" increases.

National Health Expenditure data is updated each year in mid December. 

CBO Long Term Budget Outlook for 2025
On March 27, 2025 the Congressional Budget Office released its annual Long Term Budget Outlook for 2025, which projects federal spendin ...

State FY25 Taxes Update
On November 22, 2025 usgovernmentspending.com updated FY2025 state revenue with quarterly tax data released by the US Ce ...

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